Predicted Voting in the 18th Congressional District of Texas
| 18th Congressional District of Texas | |||||||||
| Registered Voters | Percent | ||||||||
| Democrats | 337,500 | 73% | |||||||
| Republicans | 46,299 | 10% | |||||||
| Independents/Other | 79,193 | 17% | |||||||
| TOTAL: | 462,992 | 100% | |||||||
| Initial Reported Ethnicity (To Be Verified) | |||||||||
| Black | 185,197 | 40.0% | |||||||
| Anglo | 108,340 | 23.4% | |||||||
| Latino/Other | 169,455 | 36.6% | |||||||
| 462,992 | 100% | 462,992 | |||||||
| Presumed Ethnic Distribution by Political Affiliation | |||||||||
| Democrats | 60% VTO | ||||||||
| Black | 157,417 | 44% | 85% | 94,450 | |||||
| Anglo | 70,421 | 20% | 65% | 42,253 | |||||
| Latino/Other | 127,091 | 36% | 75% | 76,255 | |||||
| 354,930 | 100% | 212,958 | 0.60 | ||||||
| Republicans | |||||||||
| Black | 9,260 | 22% | 5% | 5,556 | |||||
| Anglo | 16,251 | 38% | 15% | 9,751 | |||||
| Latino/Other | 16,946 | 40% | 10% | 10,167 | |||||
| 42,456 | 100% | 25,474 | 0.60 | ||||||
| Independents/Other | |||||||||
| Black | 18,520 | 28% | 10% | 11,112 | |||||
| Anglo | 21,668 | 33% | 20% | 13,001 | |||||
| Latino/Other | 25,418 | 39% | 15% | 15,251 | |||||
| 65,606 | 100% | 39,364 | 0.60 | 277,795 | |||||
| Predicted (60%) Voting Pattern 11/02/04 | |||||||||
| Sheila Jackson-Lee | |||||||||
| Democrats | |||||||||
| Black | 80,283 | 62% | 85% | ||||||
| Anglo | 19,014 | 15% | 45% | ||||||
| Latino/Other | 30,502 | 23% | 40% | ||||||
| 129,798 | 100% | ||||||||
| Republicans | |||||||||
| Black | 56 | 22% | 1% | ||||||
| Anglo | 98 | 38% | 1% | ||||||
| Latino/Other | 102 | 40% | 1% | ||||||
| 255 | 100% | ||||||||
| Independents/Other | |||||||||
| Black | 3,889 | 58% | 35% | ||||||
| Anglo | 1,300 | 19% | 10% | ||||||
| Latino/Other | 1,525 | 23% | 10% | ||||||
| 6,714 | 100% | Total | 136,767 | 0.492 | |||||
| Tom Bazan | |||||||||
| Democrats | |||||||||
| Black | 14,168 | 17% | 15% | ||||||
| Anglo | 23,239 | 28% | 55% | ||||||
| Latino/Other | 45,753 | 55% | 60% | ||||||
| 83,159 | 100% | ||||||||
| Republicans | |||||||||
| Black | 5,500 | 22% | 99% | ||||||
| Anglo | 9,653 | 38% | 99% | ||||||
| Latino/Other | 10,066 | 40% | 99% | ||||||
| 25,219 | 100% | ||||||||
| Independents/Other | |||||||||
| Black | 7,223 | 22% | 65% | ||||||
| Anglo | 11,701 | 36% | 90% | ||||||
| Latino/Other | 13,726 | 42% | 90% | ||||||
| 32,649 | 100% | Total | 141,028 | 0.508 | |||||